Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 67% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain U19 to win ✓58% · @1.77
Double chanceSpain U19 or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Spain U19 vs Germany U19 preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA U19 Championship sees Spain U19 take on Germany U19 on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Central Park.
Form guide
Spain U19's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Denmark U19 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Germany U19's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Wales U19 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Spain U19 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for Spain U19 and 1.5 for Germany U19. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 67% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Spain U19 2–1 Germany U19. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spain U1958%fair 1.73 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
Germany U1918%fair 5.44 · @3.80
4.10Expected goals
2.59Spain U19 xG
1.51Germany U19 xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Spain U19 2.6 – 1.5 Germany U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain U19 to win✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Double chance
Spain U19 or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.45
Half-time result
Spain U19 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain U19 / FT Spain U19✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
Spain U19 – last 5
WWWWW
1 Jul
@ Denmark U19
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Wales U19
7–0
W
31 Mar
@ Netherlands U19
3–0
W
25 Mar
vs Slovenia U19
4–0
W
19 Feb
vs Norway U19
2–0
W
3.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Germany U19 – last 4
WWWD
1 Jul
@ Wales U19
4–0
W
28 Jun
vs Denmark U19
4–3
W
31 Mar
@ Austria U19
3–2
W
25 Mar
vs Sweden U19
2–2
D
3.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain U19 and Germany U19.
What is the prediction for Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
On our numbers Spain U19 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Germany U19 18%.
How many goals will there be in Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
Our predicted score is Spain U19 2–1 Germany U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
Spain U19 vs Germany U19 (UEFA U19 Championship) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
