Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.71
Fenix vs Oriental preview and prediction
The match
Oriental travel to face Fenix in the Segunda División on Sunday 3 May (00:30 WAT). Fenix are 11th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Oriental sit 6th on 34 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fenix's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Atenas 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Oriental's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Rentistas 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Fenix and 1.3 for Oriental. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 37%, draw 24%, Oriental 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Fenix 1–1 Oriental. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Oriental39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.52Expected goals
1.24Fenix xG
1.28Oriental xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.2 – 1.3 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oriental to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oriental / FT Oriental✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.71
–
Form
Fenix – last 3
WWD
27 Apr
@ Atenas
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oriental – last 3
WWD
20 Apr
@ Rentistas
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Miramar
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Colón
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Oriental.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fenix vs Oriental?
On our numbers Fenix have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oriental 39%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Oriental?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Oriental?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Oriental?
Fenix vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
