Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓66% · @1.28
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.25
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes de Merida FC travel to Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo in the Primera División on Sunday 31 May (22:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Tachira FC. Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st with 15 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Tachira FC's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Carabobo FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Carabobo FC 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Tachira FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Deportivo Tachira FC and 0.7 for Estudiantes de Merida FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Tachira FC 66%, draw 23%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Tachira FC66%fair 1.52 · @1.28
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.60
Estudiantes de Merida FC11%fair 8.86 · @10.80
2.65Expected goals
1.95Deportivo Tachira FC xG
0.70Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 – 0.7 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Tachira FC to win✓
66%
1.52
1.28
Double chance
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Half-time result
Deportivo Tachira FC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.25
–
Form
Deportivo Tachira FC – last 6
DWDWDL
24 May
@ Carabobo FC
1–1
D
17 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
1–0
W
12 May
vs Metropolitanos FC
1–1
D
10 May
vs Carabobo FC
3–1
W
20 Apr
@ UCV
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6
LLLWLW
17 May
vs Carabobo FC
0–2
L
14 May
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
9 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Carabobo FC
3–2
W
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Puerto Cabello
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Tachira FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Deportivo Tachira FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
