Portuguesa FC travel to Estadio Olimpico de la UCV in the Primera División on Saturday 30 May (21:00 WAT) to face UCV. UCV are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Portuguesa FC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCV's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa FC's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Guaira 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for UCV and 1.1 for Portuguesa FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCV 46%, draw 22%, Portuguesa FC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: UCV 1–1 Portuguesa FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Portuguesa FC32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.59Expected goals
1.44UCV xG
1.15Portuguesa FC xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: UCV 1.4 – 1.1 Portuguesa FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCV to win✗
46%
2.18
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCV / FT UCV✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
UCV – last 6
WLDDWW
27 May
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
19 May
@ Rosario Central
0–4
L
16 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
13 May
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
10 May
vs Puerto Cabello
3–1
W
6 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portuguesa FC – last 6
LWLDDW
23 May
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–2
L
17 May
vs Puerto Cabello
1–0
W
14 May
@ Puerto Cabello
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Zamora FC
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV and Portuguesa FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
On our numbers UCV have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portuguesa FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
Our predicted score is UCV 1–1 Portuguesa FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
UCV vs Portuguesa FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
