Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Metropolitanos FC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetropolitanos FC to win48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.01
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes de Merida FC host Metropolitanos FC in the Primera División on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Metropolitanos FC sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Carabobo FC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Metropolitanos FC's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Tachira FC 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Metropolitanos FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.4 for Metropolitanos FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Merida FC 30%, draw 22%, Metropolitanos FC 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Metropolitanos FC to win at 2.45 – 48% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC30%fair 3.32 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Metropolitanos FC48%fair 2.10 · @2.45
2.40Expected goals
1.02Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.38Metropolitanos FC xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.0 – 1.4 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metropolitanos FC 48%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
