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Primera División · Venezuela

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.11

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC preview and prediction

The match

The Primera División sees Estudiantes de Merida FC take on Carabobo FC on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Carabobo FC sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Carabobo FC 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Carabobo FC's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Carabobo FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Across their last 2 meetings Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 1, Carabobo FC 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.5 for Carabobo FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Carabobo FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Estudiantes de Merida FC30%fair 3.29 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Carabobo FC47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
2.60Expected goals
1.12Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.48Carabobo FC xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.1 – 1.5 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarabobo FC to win ✓47%2.112.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.11–

Form

Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6

LLWLWW
14 May@ Carabobo FC0–1L
9 May@ Metropolitanos FC0–2L
18 Marvs Carabobo FC3–2W
6 Marvs Deportivo La Guaira0–1L
28 Feb@ Puerto Cabello2–1W
23 Feb@ Academia Anzoátegui3–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Carabobo FC – last 6

WLLWWL
14 Mayvs Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0W
10 May@ Deportivo Tachira FC1–3L
8 Mayvs River Plate1–2L
30 Aprvs Blooming2–0W
20 Aprvs Academia Anzoátegui6–3W
16 Apr@ River Plate0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Carabobo FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0
18 Mar 2026Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC3–2
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carabobo FC 47%.

How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.