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Primera División · Venezuela · Complejo Deportivo Socialista

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Puerto Cabello to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira preview and prediction

The match

Deportivo La Guaira travel to Complejo Deportivo Socialista in the Primera División on Sunday 3 May (01:00 WAT) to face Puerto Cabello. Puerto Cabello are 3rd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Deportivo La Guaira sit 2nd on 6 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Puerto Cabello's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Juventud 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Deportivo La Guaira's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Independ. Rivadavia 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Puerto Cabello.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Puerto Cabello and 0.6 for Deportivo La Guaira. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Puerto Cabello to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 1–0 Deportivo La Guaira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Puerto Cabello62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Deportivo La Guaira13%fair 7.55 · @5.40
2.11Expected goals
1.55Puerto Cabello xG
0.56Deportivo La Guaira xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.6 – 0.6 Deportivo La Guaira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPuerto Cabello to win ✗62%1.611.70 ▲
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✓87%1.151.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.581.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.30–

Form

Puerto Cabello – last 6

LWLWLD
29 Apr@ Juventud0–4L
21 Aprvs Trujillanos FC3–1W
17 Apr@ Cienciano0–2L
9 Aprvs Atletico-MG2–1W
5 Aprvs Deportivo Tachira FC1–2L
23 Mar@ Carabobo FC1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deportivo La Guaira – last 6

LDDWDD
30 Apr@ Independ. Rivadavia1–4L
21 Aprvs Portuguesa FC0–0D
15 Apr@ Bolívar1–1D
10 Apr@ Deportivo Tachira FC3–2W
7 Aprvs Fluminense0–0D
3 Aprvs Carabobo FC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Deportivo La Guaira v Puerto Cabello0–0
Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Our pick is Puerto Cabello to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo La Guaira 13%.

How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–0 Deportivo La Guaira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.