Al Ahli host Al-Hidd in the Premier League on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Al Ahli are 5th with 9 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Al-Hidd sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Ahli's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Sitra 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Hidd's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to A'Ali 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Al Ahli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Al Ahli and 1.2 for Al-Hidd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli 38%, draw 25%, Al-Hidd 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al Ahli 1–1 Al-Hidd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli38%fair 2.60 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Al-Hidd36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
2.45Expected goals
1.25Al Ahli xG
1.20Al-Hidd xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 1.2 – 1.2 Al-Hidd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✗
38%
2.60
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.31
–
Form
Al Ahli – last 4
WLWW
5 May
@ Sitra
2–0
W
29 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Bahrain SC
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najma
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Hidd – last 5
LLWLW
4 May
vs A'Ali
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Muharraq
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Budaiya
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Al Najma
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Sitra
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al-Hidd.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al-Hidd 36%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 1–1 Al-Hidd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
