Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Zakho vs Diyala preview and prediction
The match
Zakho host Diyala in the Iraqi League on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Zakho are 15th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Diyala sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zakho's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Al Karkh 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Diyala's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Gharraf 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Zakho and 0.8 for Diyala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zakho 57%, draw 20%, Diyala 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zakho to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zakho 1–0 Diyala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zakho57%fair 1.75 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.25
Diyala23%fair 4.43 · @3.80
2.26Expected goals
1.48Zakho xG
0.77Diyala xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Zakho 1.5 – 0.8 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zakho to win✗
57%
1.75
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zakho / FT Zakho✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Form
Zakho – last 6
LWWDDW
6 May
@ Al Karkh
1–3
L
1 May
vs Naft Maysan
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Al Shabab
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Diyala – last 6
DLLWWW
6 May
@ Gharraf
0–0
D
1 May
vs Al Talaba
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Al Zawra'a
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Al Karkh
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Naft Maysan
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zakho and Diyala.
Our pick is Zakho to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Zakho vs Diyala?
On our numbers Zakho have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Diyala 23%.
How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Zakho 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zakho vs Diyala?
Zakho vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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