Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 58% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDifaa EL Jadida to win ✗37% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir preview and prediction
The match
Difaa EL Jadida host Hassania Agadir in the Botola Pro on Thursday 7 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Difaa EL Jadida are 11th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Hassania Agadir sit 8th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Difaa EL Jadida's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat CR Khemis Zemamra 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hassania Agadir's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Olympique Safi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Difaa EL Jadida arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Difaa EL Jadida and 1.4 for Hassania Agadir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 58% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Hassania Agadir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Difaa EL Jadida37%fair 2.69 · @2.85
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.80
Hassania Agadir36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
2.85Expected goals
1.44Difaa EL Jadida xG
1.40Hassania Agadir xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Difaa EL Jadida 1.4 – 1.4 Hassania Agadir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Difaa EL Jadida to win✗
37%
2.69
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.55 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Difaa EL Jadida / FT Difaa EL Jadida✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Difaa EL Jadida – last 3
WDW
30 Apr
vs CR Khemis Zemamra
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Wydad AC
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Yacoub El Mansour
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hassania Agadir – last 6
WLLLDD
4 May
vs Olympique Safi
2–1
W
29 Apr
@ Maghreb Fès
0–4
L
4 Mar
@ Renaissance Berkane
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Raja Casablanca
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ CR Khemis Zemamra
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs CODM Meknès
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difaa EL Jadida and Hassania Agadir.
What is the prediction for Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir?
On our numbers Difaa EL Jadida have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hassania Agadir 36%.
How many goals will there be in Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir?
Our predicted score is Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Hassania Agadir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir?
Difaa EL Jadida vs Hassania Agadir (Botola Pro) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Olympique Safi1