Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Maghreb Fès to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaja Casablanca to win ✓40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca preview and prediction
The match
Maghreb Fès host Raja Casablanca in the Botola Pro on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Maghreb Fès are 6th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Raja Casablanca sit 3rd on 12 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maghreb Fès's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Hassania Agadir 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Raja Casablanca's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to FAR Rabat 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maghreb Fès arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Maghreb Fès and 1.0 for Raja Casablanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maghreb Fès 34%, draw 26%, Raja Casablanca 40%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Maghreb Fès to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Maghreb Fès 0–1 Raja Casablanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maghreb Fès34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Raja Casablanca40%fair 2.51 · @2.33
1.97Expected goals
0.93Maghreb Fès xG
1.04Raja Casablanca xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maghreb Fès 0.9 – 1.0 Raja Casablanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raja Casablanca to win✓
40%
2.51
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Maghreb Fès – last 5
WDWDW
29 Apr
vs Hassania Agadir
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Renaissance Berkane
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Olympique Dcheïra
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Kawkab Marrakech
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Yacoub El Mansour
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Raja Casablanca – last 5
LWDWD
30 Apr
@ FAR Rabat
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Hassania Agadir
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Renaissance Berkane
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ittihad Tanger
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Yacoub El Mansour
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maghreb Fès and Raja Casablanca.
What is the prediction for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
On our numbers Maghreb Fès have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Raja Casablanca 40%.
How many goals will there be in Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Our predicted score is Maghreb Fès 0–1 Raja Casablanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca (Botola Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
