Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Muğlaspor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuğlaspor to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceMuğlaspor or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor preview and prediction
The match
Şanlıurfaspor travel to face Muğlaspor in the 2. Lig on Monday 4 May (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Muğlaspor's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Şanlıurfaspor 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Şanlıurfaspor's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Muğlaspor 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Şanlıurfaspor 0–1 Muğlaspor. Across their last 2 meetings Muğlaspor have won 1, Şanlıurfaspor 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Muğlaspor and 0.8 for Şanlıurfaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Muğlaspor to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Muğlaspor or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Muğlaspor 1–0 Şanlıurfaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muğlaspor59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @2.88
Şanlıurfaspor19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
2.41Expected goals
1.63Muğlaspor xG
0.78Şanlıurfaspor xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 1.6 – 0.8 Şanlıurfaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Our pick is Muğlaspor or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Şanlıurfaspor 19%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 1–0 Şanlıurfaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
