The Premier League sees Al Najma take on Muharraq on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Al Najma are 8th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Muharraq sit 4th on 11 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Malkiya 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Muharraq's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Budaiya 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muharraq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.6 for Al Najma and 1.9 for Muharraq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 12%, draw 19%, Muharraq 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Muharraq to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Najma 0–1 Muharraq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma12%fair 8.42 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.00
Muharraq70%fair 1.44 · @1.50
2.56Expected goals
0.62Al Najma xG
1.94Muharraq xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–215%
0–39%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al Najma 0.6 – 1.9 Muharraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muharraq to win✓
70%
1.44
1.50
Double chance
Muharraq or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Half-time result
Muharraq ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muharraq / FT Muharraq✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Al Najma – last 5
LLDWL
28 Apr
@ Malkiya
0–3
L
16 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al-Hidd
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Al Ahli
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Muharraq – last 6
WWWWLL
29 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sitra
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Khalidiya
0–3
L
12 Mar
@ Al Riffa
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Muharraq.
Our pick is Muharraq to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al Najma vs Muharraq?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Muharraq 70%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Muharraq?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Muharraq?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 0–1 Muharraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Muharraq?
Al Najma vs Muharraq (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
