The Liga MX Femenil sees Tigres UANL W take on Toluca W on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Universitario. Tigres UANL W are 3rd with 35 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Toluca W sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tigres UANL W's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Toluca W 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Toluca W's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Tigres UANL W 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Toluca W 2–1 Tigres UANL W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Tigres UANL W and 0.9 for Toluca W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigres UANL W 70%, draw 21%, Toluca W 10%.
Safer route: Tigres UANL W or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tigres UANL W to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.54, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tigres UANL W 2–0 Toluca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres UANL W70%fair 1.44 · @1.54
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.35
Toluca W10%fair 10.14 · @5.25
3.33Expected goals
2.44Tigres UANL W xG
0.89Toluca W xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL W 2.4 – 0.9 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
Our pick is Tigres UANL W to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Tigres UANL W have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toluca W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL W 2–0 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
