Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Monterrey W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey W to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W preview and prediction
The match
Monterrey W host Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 01:15 (WAT) at Cancha El Barrial. Monterrey W are 2nd with 37 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Cruz Azul W sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterrey W's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Cruz Azul W 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul W's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Monterrey W 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Cruz Azul W 1–1 Monterrey W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Monterrey W and 1.1 for Cruz Azul W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterrey W 60%, draw 20%, Cruz Azul W 20%.
Safer route: Monterrey W or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Monterrey W to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Monterrey W or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Monterrey W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey W60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.85
Cruz Azul W20%fair 5.12 · @3.70
3.26Expected goals
2.12Monterrey W xG
1.13Cruz Azul W xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.1 – 1.1 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Monterrey W or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cruz Azul W 20%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
