The Liga MX Femenil sees Toluca W take on Tigres UANL W on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Tigres UANL W sit 3rd on 35 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Toluca W's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Guadalajara W 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Tigres UANL W's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Monterrey W 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigres UANL W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Toluca W and 1.9 for Tigres UANL W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 32%, draw 21%, Tigres UANL W 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Toluca W 1–1 Tigres UANL W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W32%fair 3.12 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.60
Tigres UANL W47%fair 2.15 · @5.70
3.48Expected goals
1.56Toluca W xG
1.91Tigres UANL W xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Toluca W 1.6 – 1.9 Tigres UANL W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL W to win✗
47%
2.15
5.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Half-time result
Tigres UANL W ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Form
Toluca W – last 6
DLDWWL
25 Apr
@ Guadalajara W
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Cruz Azul W
0–4
L
1 Apr
@ León W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL W – last 6
WDWLWW
25 Apr
@ Monterrey W
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Guadalajara W
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Tijuana W
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs América W
0–1
L
23 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Querétaro W
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Tigres UANL W.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tigres UANL W 47%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 1–1 Tigres UANL W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
