Thursday, 12 November 2026 3 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
2–0
FT

Municipal vs Guastatoya prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMunicipal to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33

Municipal vs Guastatoya preview and prediction

The match

Municipal host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. Municipal are 2nd with 38 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Guastatoya sit 7th on 31 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Municipal's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Guastatoya 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Guastatoya's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Municipal 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Municipal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Guastatoya 0–1 Municipal. Across their last 2 meetings Municipal have won 1, Guastatoya 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Municipal and 0.6 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Municipal 1–0 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Municipal65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.90
Guastatoya11%fair 9.04 · @8.20
2.44Expected goals
1.82Municipal xG
0.62Guastatoya xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Municipal 1.8 – 0.6 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal to win ✓65%1.541.40
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Half-time resultMunicipal ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal / FT Municipal ✓42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.33–

Form

Municipal – last 6

WWWLDW
1 May@ Guastatoya1–0W
19 Apr@ Marquense3–1W
16 Aprvs Comunicaciones1–0W
12 Apr@ Antigua GFC0–1L
6 Aprvs Cobán Imperial0–0D
2 Apr@ Achuapa2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Guastatoya – last 6

LLWWLD
1 Mayvs Municipal0–1L
21 Apr@ Comunicaciones0–1L
16 Aprvs Antigua GFC3–0W
7 Aprvs Achuapa3–1W
3 Apr@ Malacateco0–1L
29 Mar@ Xelajú1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Guastatoya v Municipal0–1
22 Mar 2026Guastatoya v Municipal1–1
Municipal vs Guastatoya head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Municipal vs Guastatoya?

On our numbers Municipal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guastatoya 11%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Guastatoya?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Municipal vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.