Value bet: Municipal to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.47
Guastatoya vs Municipal preview and prediction
The match
Municipal travel to face Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional on Friday 1 May (02:00 WAT). Guastatoya are 7th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Municipal sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Guastatoya's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Comunicaciones 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Municipal's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Marquense 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Municipal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Guastatoya and 1.3 for Municipal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guastatoya 33%, draw 23%, Municipal 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Municipal to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guastatoya33%fair 3.01 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Municipal43%fair 2.31 · @2.55
2.40Expected goals
1.10Guastatoya xG
1.31Municipal xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.1 – 1.3 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Municipal?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Municipal 43%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Guastatoya vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
