Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓22% · fair 4.45
Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Leones del Norte travel to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra in the Copa Ecuador on Saturday 30 May (00:30 WAT) to face Huaquillas.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Tecnico Universitario 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.5 for Huaquillas and 1.2 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Huaquillas 16%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 58%.
Safer route: Leones del Norte or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Huaquillas 0–1 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Huaquillas16%fair 6.07 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Leones del Norte58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
1.71Expected goals
0.47Huaquillas xG
1.24Leones del Norte xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–018%
0–214%
1–111%
1–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Huaquillas 0.5 – 1.2 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones del Norte to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Leones del Norte or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
22%
4.45
–
Form
Huaquillas – last 1
W
12 Apr
vs Río Aguarico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 6
LWLWWL
24 May
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
17 May
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–1
W
9 May
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
3 May
vs Emelec
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Manta FC
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Huaquillas and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Huaquillas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 58%.
How many goals will there be in Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Huaquillas 0–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?
Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
