Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.59
Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Santo Domingo host Independiente del Valle in the Copa Ecuador on Wednesday 8 July, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Manta FC 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.4 for Santo Domingo and 1.6 for Independiente del Valle. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santo Domingo 11%, draw 18%, Independiente del Valle 70%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Santo Domingo 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santo Domingo11%fair 9.00 · @8.00
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @3.75
Independiente del Valle70%fair 1.42 · @1.40
2.00Expected goals
0.39Santo Domingo xG
1.61Independiente del Valle xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–218%
0–014%
0–39%
1–19%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santo Domingo 0.4 – 1.6 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.59
–
Form
Santo Domingo – last 1
W
13 Apr
@ Primero de Mayo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWLWW
4 Jul
vs Manta FC
4–0
W
31 May
@ Guayaquil City FC
4–2
W
27 May
vs Rosario Central
1–0
W
23 May
vs Libertad
2–3
L
20 May
vs Libertad Asuncion
4–1
W
13 May
@ Universidad Catolica
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santo Domingo and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Santo Domingo have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Independiente del Valle 70%.
How many goals will there be in Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Santo Domingo 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle?
Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Wednesday 8 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
