Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolice Tero to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.55
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya preview and prediction
The match
Nong Bua Pitchaya travel to Boonyachinda Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Sunday 3 May (12:00 WAT) to face Police Tero. Police Tero are 15th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Police Tero's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Chainat 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Khon Kaen United 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Nong Bua Pitchaya 6–3 Police Tero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Police Tero and 1.5 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Police Tero 2–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police Tero42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.75
Nong Bua Pitchaya37%fair 2.71 · @2.40
3.17Expected goals
1.64Police Tero xG
1.53Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Police Tero 1.6 – 1.5 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Police Tero have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 37%.
How many goals will there be in Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Police Tero 2–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Boonyachinda Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
