Managua host Matagalpa in the Primera Division on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Managua are 1st with 41 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Matagalpa sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Managua's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Diriangén 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Matagalpa's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Real Estelí 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Managua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 April 2026, finished Matagalpa 1–2 Managua. Across their last 2 meetings Managua have won 1, Matagalpa 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Managua and 0.7 for Matagalpa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Managua 2–0 Matagalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Managua68%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.95
Matagalpa10%fair 10.10 · @5.60
2.76Expected goals
2.06Managua xG
0.70Matagalpa xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Managua 2.1 – 0.7 Matagalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Managua vs Matagalpa?
On our numbers Managua have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Matagalpa 10%.
How many goals will there be in Managua vs Matagalpa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our predicted score is Managua 2–0 Matagalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Managua vs Matagalpa?
Managua vs Matagalpa (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
