Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosmos to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Cosmos vs Pennarossa preview and prediction
The match
Pennarossa travel to face Cosmos in the Campionato on Wednesday 29 April (19:45 WAT). Cosmos are 5th with 16 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Pennarossa sit 13th on 5 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cosmos's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Faetano 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pennarossa's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Tre Fiori 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Cosmos and 0.8 for Pennarossa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Cosmos to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cosmos 1–0 Pennarossa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cosmos58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
Pennarossa22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
2.41Expected goals
1.59Cosmos xG
0.82Pennarossa xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cosmos 1.6 – 0.8 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cosmos to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cosmos / FT Cosmos✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Cosmos – last 6
WLDLWD
26 Apr
vs Faetano
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ La Fiorita
1–3
L
8 Apr
@ Folgore
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Libertas
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Murata
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Tre Penne
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pennarossa – last 4
DWDL
26 Apr
@ Tre Fiori
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ San Marino Academy
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Folgore
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cosmos and Pennarossa.
Our pick is Cosmos to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
On our numbers Cosmos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pennarossa 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Our predicted score is Cosmos 1–0 Pennarossa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Cosmos vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
