Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Slavia Praha to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Praha to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.01
Slavia Praha vs Plzen preview and prediction
The match
Plzen travel to Fortuna Arena in the Czech Liga on Sunday 24 May (13:00 WAT) to face Slavia Praha. Slavia Praha are 1st with 34 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Plzen sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Slavia Praha's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Hradec Králové 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Plzen's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat FK Jablonec 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Slavia Praha and 1.1 for Plzen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Slavia Praha 57%, draw 21%, Plzen 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Slavia Praha to win at 1.88 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Slavia Praha 1–1 Plzen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Praha57%fair 1.76 · @1.88
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Plzen22%fair 4.50 · @3.55
2.93Expected goals
1.86Slavia Praha xG
1.06Plzen xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Slavia Praha 1.9 – 1.1 Plzen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Praha to win✓
57%
1.76
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Slavia Praha ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Praha / FT Slavia Praha✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.01
–
Form
Slavia Praha – last 6
LWLWWW
17 May
@ Hradec Králové
1–3
L
13 May
vs FK Jablonec
5–1
W
19 Apr
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Baník Ostrava
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sparta Praha
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Dukla Praha
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Plzen – last 6
WDWWLL
17 May
vs FK Jablonec
5–0
W
12 May
@ Sparta Praha
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Bohemians 1905
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Hradec Králové
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Karviná
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Zlin
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slavia Praha and Plzen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Slavia Praha vs Plzen?
On our numbers Slavia Praha have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plzen 22%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Praha vs Plzen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Praha vs Plzen?
Our predicted score is Slavia Praha 1–1 Plzen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Slavia Praha vs Plzen?
Slavia Praha vs Plzen (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
