Plzen host FK Jablonec in the Czech Liga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Mesta Plzne. Plzen are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while FK Jablonec sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Plzen's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Sparta Praha 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Jablonec's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Slavia Praha 1–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Jablonec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Plzen and 0.7 for FK Jablonec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plzen 70%, draw 19%, FK Jablonec 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Plzen 2–0 FK Jablonec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plzen70%fair 1.43 · @1.43
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.20
FK Jablonec11%fair 8.78 · @6.75
2.77Expected goals
2.07Plzen xG
0.69FK Jablonec xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Plzen 2.1 – 0.7 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win✓
70%
1.43
1.43
Double chance
Plzen or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Plzen ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Plzen – last 6
DWWLLD
12 May
@ Sparta Praha
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Bohemians 1905
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Hradec Králové
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Karviná
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Zlin
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sparta Praha
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 4
LWWW
13 May
@ Slavia Praha
1–5
L
21 Apr
vs Mlada Boleslav
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Karviná
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pardubice
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plzen and FK Jablonec.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Plzen have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Jablonec 11%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Plzen 2–0 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
Plzen vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mesta Plzne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
