Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec preview and prediction
The match
FK Jablonec travel to epet ARENA in the Czech Liga on Sunday 3 May (17:30 WAT) to face Sparta Praha. Sparta Praha are 4th with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while FK Jablonec sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sparta Praha's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Karviná 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FK Jablonec's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Mlada Boleslav 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Jablonec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Sparta Praha and 0.8 for FK Jablonec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sparta Praha 68%, draw 20%, FK Jablonec 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Praha68%fair 1.48 · @1.56
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.80
FK Jablonec12%fair 8.24 · @5.30
2.81Expected goals
2.06Sparta Praha xG
0.75FK Jablonec xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 2.1 – 0.8 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win
68%
1.48
1.56 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
13%
7.84
–
Form
Sparta Praha – last 6
WLWLLD
5 Apr
vs Karviná
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Slovácko
5–2
W
12 Mar
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Slavia Praha
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Plzen
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 3
WWW
21 Apr
vs Mlada Boleslav
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Karviná
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pardubice
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Jablonec 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
