Value bet: Baník Ostrava to win @ 1.69 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaník Ostrava to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chanceBaník Ostrava or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava preview and prediction
The match
Baník Ostrava travel to Juliska Stadium in the Czech Liga on Saturday 23 May (13:00 WAT) to face Dukla Praha.
Form guide
Dukla Praha's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Mlada Boleslav 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Baník Ostrava's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Slovácko 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Dukla Praha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Dukla Praha and 1.7 for Baník Ostrava. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dukla Praha 19%, draw 19%, Baník Ostrava 63%.
Safer route: Baník Ostrava or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Baník Ostrava to win at 1.69 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Dukla Praha 0–1 Baník Ostrava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dukla Praha19%fair 5.39 · @4.35
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.70
Baník Ostrava63%fair 1.59 · @1.69
2.41Expected goals
0.73Dukla Praha xG
1.68Baník Ostrava xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Dukla Praha 0.7 – 1.7 Baník Ostrava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baník Ostrava to win✓
63%
1.59
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Baník Ostrava or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baník Ostrava / FT Baník Ostrava✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Dukla Praha – last 5
WLWLL
12 May
@ Mlada Boleslav
2–1
W
9 May
vs Slovácko
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Vlašim
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Slavia Praha
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Bohemians 1905
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Baník Ostrava – last 6
LLLLWD
12 May
@ Slovácko
1–2
L
9 May
@ Teplice
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Karviná
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Slavia Praha
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Zlin
6–2
W
22 Feb
vs Mlada Boleslav
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dukla Praha and Baník Ostrava.
What is the prediction for Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
On our numbers Dukla Praha have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Baník Ostrava 63%.
How many goals will there be in Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Our predicted score is Dukla Praha 0–1 Baník Ostrava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Juliska Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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