Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Molinos El Pirata or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Molinos El Pirata to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolinos El Pirata to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceMolinos El Pirata or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao preview and prediction
The match
Molinos El Pirata host Academia Cantolao in the Segunda División on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Molinos El Pirata are 4th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Academia Cantolao sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Molinos El Pirata and 0.8 for Academia Cantolao. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molinos El Pirata 62%, draw 21%, Academia Cantolao 17%.
Safer route: Molinos El Pirata or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Molinos El Pirata to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Molinos El Pirata or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Molinos El Pirata 1–0 Academia Cantolao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molinos El Pirata62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Academia Cantolao17%fair 5.93 · @3.60
2.62Expected goals
1.82Molinos El Pirata xG
0.80Academia Cantolao xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Molinos El Pirata 1.8 – 0.8 Academia Cantolao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molinos El Pirata to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Molinos El Pirata or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Molinos El Pirata ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molinos El Pirata / FT Molinos El Pirata✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Molinos El Pirata – last 2
WL
27 Apr
vs Cesar Vallejo
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Academia Cantolao – last 1
W
3 Apr
vs San Marcos
5–1
W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molinos El Pirata and Academia Cantolao.
What is the prediction for Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?
Our pick is Molinos El Pirata or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?
On our numbers Molinos El Pirata have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Academia Cantolao 17%.
How many goals will there be in Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?
Our predicted score is Molinos El Pirata 1–0 Academia Cantolao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?
Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
