Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Portmore United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortmore United to win ✓67% · @1.65
Double chancePortmore United or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens preview and prediction
The match
Tivoli Gardens travel to Ferdi Neita Sports Complex in the Premier League on Wednesday 6 May (21:30 WAT) to face Portmore United. Portmore United are 8th with 10 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Tivoli Gardens sit 7th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portmore United's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Spanish Town Police 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tivoli Gardens's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Treasure Beach 2–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Portmore United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Portmore United and 0.7 for Tivoli Gardens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portmore United 67%, draw 20%, Tivoli Gardens 13%.
Safer route: Portmore United or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portmore United to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Portmore United 1–0 Tivoli Gardens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portmore United67%fair 1.50 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.70
Tivoli Gardens13%fair 7.46 · @4.40
2.60Expected goals
1.91Portmore United xG
0.70Tivoli Gardens xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portmore United 1.9 – 0.7 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portmore United to win✓
67%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Portmore United or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Half-time result
Portmore United ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portmore United / FT Portmore United✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.09
–
Form
Portmore United – last 6
WDLWLD
23 Apr
@ Spanish Town Police
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ Cavalier
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Dunbeholden
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Waterhouse
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Mount Pleasant Academy
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Treasure Beach
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tivoli Gardens – last 6
LLLLWL
30 Apr
@ Treasure Beach
2–4
L
27 Apr
@ Molynes United
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Montego Bay United
1–5
L
16 Apr
@ Waterhouse
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Harbour View
3–2
W
25 Mar
vs Chapelton
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portmore United and Tivoli Gardens.
What is the prediction for Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our pick is Portmore United to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
On our numbers Portmore United have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tivoli Gardens 13%.
How many goals will there be in Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our predicted score is Portmore United 1–0 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Ferdi Neita Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.