CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
CS Sfaxien to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCS Sfaxien to win ✗68% · @1.30
Double chanceCS Sfaxien or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien preview and prediction
The match
CS Sfaxien host Stade Gabesien in the Cup on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT).
Form guide
CS Sfaxien's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat ES Sahel 3–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stade Gabesien's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Djelma 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for CS Sfaxien and 0.9 for Stade Gabesien. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 53% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CS Sfaxien to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: CS Sfaxien 2–0 Stade Gabesien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CS Sfaxien68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.50
Stade Gabesien10%fair 10.17 · @8.00
3.33Expected goals
2.41CS Sfaxien xG
0.92Stade Gabesien xG
53%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: CS Sfaxien 2.4 – 0.9 Stade Gabesien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CS Sfaxien to win✗
68%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
CS Sfaxien or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
CS Sfaxien ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CS Sfaxien / FT CS Sfaxien✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
CS Sfaxien – last 6
WDWWDW
14 May
vs ES Sahel
3–1
W
30 Apr
@ ES Tunis
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Jendouba Sport
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs JS Kairouanaise
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AS Gabes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stade Gabesien – last 6
DDWWWW
12 May
@ Djelma
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ AS Kasserine
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Kalaâ Sport
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs ES Sahel
4–3
W
5 Apr
vs EGS Gafsa
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Bouchamma
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CS Sfaxien and Stade Gabesien.
What is the prediction for CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien?
Our pick is CS Sfaxien to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien?
On our numbers CS Sfaxien have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stade Gabesien 10%.
How many goals will there be in CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien?
Our predicted score is CS Sfaxien 2–0 Stade Gabesien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien?
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia
ES Zarzis2
CA Bizertin0