Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.08
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane preview and prediction
The match
Stade Tunisien host US Ben Guerdane in the Ligue 1 on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade Hedi-Enneifer. Stade Tunisien are 3rd with 13 points from 7 games (in the top four), while US Ben Guerdane sit 1st on 17 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Stade Tunisien's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
US Ben Guerdane's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat JS Kairouanaise 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Stade Tunisien and 0.3 for US Ben Guerdane. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stade Tunisien 67%, draw 22%, US Ben Guerdane 10%.
Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Stade Tunisien 1–0 US Ben Guerdane. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Tunisien67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.45
US Ben Guerdane10%fair 9.72 · @6.50
1.77Expected goals
1.44Stade Tunisien xG
0.33US Ben Guerdane xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–018%
0–017%
3–08%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Stade Tunisien 1.4 – 0.3 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✗
67%
1.49
1.53
Double chance
Stade Tunisien or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Tunisien / FT Stade Tunisien✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.08
–
Form
Stade Tunisien – last 5
LDWLW
29 Apr
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs ES Sahel
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ AS Marsa
4–0
W
21 Feb
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Olympique Béja
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
US Ben Guerdane – last 6
WWDLLL
30 Apr
@ JS Kairouanaise
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs ES Metlaoui
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ M'saken
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs Club Africain
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Tunisien and US Ben Guerdane.
What is the prediction for Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
On our numbers Stade Tunisien have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and US Ben Guerdane 10%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our predicted score is Stade Tunisien 1–0 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Hedi-Enneifer.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AS Soliman1
AS Gabes0