Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Indy Eleven to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLexington to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Lexington vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
Indy Eleven travel to Toyota Stadium in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 21 June (00:00 WAT) to face Lexington. Lexington are 19th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Indy Eleven sit 14th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lexington's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat San Antonio 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Indy Eleven's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Indy Eleven 3–1 Lexington.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Lexington and 1.7 for Indy Eleven. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Value angle: Indy Eleven to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Lexington 1–1 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lexington41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.70
Indy Eleven38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
3.51Expected goals
1.79Lexington xG
1.72Indy Eleven xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.8 – 1.7 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Lexington vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Lexington have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Indy Eleven 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Indy Eleven?
Lexington vs Indy Eleven (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
