FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 3.46 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.87
FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk preview and prediction
The match
FK Neftekhimik host Volga Ulyanovsk in the First League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Neftekhimik Stadium. FK Neftekhimik are 17th with 13 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Volga Ulyanovsk sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Chelyabinsk 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to FK Sokol Saratov 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Volga Ulyanovsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for FK Neftekhimik and 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Neftekhimik 46%, draw 22%, Volga Ulyanovsk 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.94.
Value angle: Volga Ulyanovsk to win at 3.46 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Neftekhimik46%fair 2.16 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.14
Volga Ulyanovsk31%fair 3.20 · @3.46
2.35Expected goals
1.33FK Neftekhimik xG
1.02Volga Ulyanovsk xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.3 – 1.0 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win
46%
2.16
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.94 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.87
–
Form
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LLWDLL
2 May
@ Chelyabinsk
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Enisey
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Chernomorets
4–0
W
10 Apr
@ KAMAZ
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LWLDWD
3 May
vs FK Sokol Saratov
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Chayka
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Volga Ulyanovsk 31%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov1