Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.99
Khovd vs Deren preview and prediction
The match
Khovd host Deren in the Premier League on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Khovd are 7th with 16 points from 21 games, while Deren sit 3rd on 45 points. A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khovd's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Hunters 1–10 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 6.3 conceded.
Deren's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Central Stallions 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Deren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.4 goals: 1.6 for Khovd and 3.8 for Deren. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 91% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Khovd 10%, draw 14%, Deren 76%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 97% chance. Predicted score: Khovd 1–3 Deren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khovd10%fair 9.82 · @41.00
Draw14%fair 7.33 · @29.00
Deren76%fair 1.31 · @1.01
5.37Expected goals
1.58Khovd xG
3.80Deren xG
63%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–46%
1–25%
2–35%
2–45%
1–55%
From our goals model: Khovd 1.6 – 3.8 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deren to win✓
76%
1.31
1.01
Double chance
Deren or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Deren ahead at half-time✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deren / FT Deren✗
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.99
–
Form
Khovd – last 6
LLWLLL
13 Jun
@ Hunters
1–10
L
24 May
vs Khangarid
0–6
L
21 May
@ Ulaangom City
3–2
W
16 May
vs Khovd Western
2–5
L
6 May
@ Khoromkhon
1–6
L
3 May
vs Central Stallions
0–9
L
1.2Scored / game
6.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deren – last 6
LLWDLW
14 Jun
vs Central Stallions
1–2
L
23 May
@ Ulaanbaatar
0–2
L
20 May
vs Khoromkhon
12–0
W
17 May
vs Hunters
1–1
D
9 May
@ Khangarid
1–2
L
7 May
vs Ulaangom City
7–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khovd and Deren.
On our numbers Khovd have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Deren 76%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd vs Deren?
We expect about 5.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khovd 1–3 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.4 goals in total.
When is Khovd vs Deren?
Khovd vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
