Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.54
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓63% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓6% · fair 15.54
Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ulaanbaatar take on Khangarid on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT). Ulaanbaatar are 1st with 54 points from 23 games, while Khangarid sit 4th on 34 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khangarid's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Deren 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.1 for Ulaanbaatar and 1.9 for Khangarid. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 88% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Ulaanbaatar to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ulaanbaatar 3–1 Khangarid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulaanbaatar63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @4.00
Khangarid21%fair 4.67 · @2.80
5.00Expected goals
3.13Ulaanbaatar xG
1.87Khangarid xG
65%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–16%
2–16%
3–26%
2–26%
4–15%
4–25%
From our goals model: Ulaanbaatar 3.1 – 1.9 Khangarid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulaanbaatar to win✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Half-time result
Ulaanbaatar ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar✓
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✓
6%
15.54
–
Form
Ulaanbaatar – last 2
WW
6 May
vs Khovd Western
3–0
W
25 Apr
vs Khovd
4–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Khangarid – last 4
WWWW
9 May
vs Deren
2–1
W
7 May
@ Hunters
2–0
W
2 May
vs Khoromkhon
6–2
W
26 Apr
vs Ulaangom City
5–1
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulaanbaatar and Khangarid.
What is the prediction for Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our pick is Ulaanbaatar to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
On our numbers Ulaanbaatar have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Khangarid 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our predicted score is Ulaanbaatar 3–1 Khangarid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
