Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57% · @2.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓6% · fair 17.46
Khangarid vs Deren preview and prediction
The match
Khangarid host Deren in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Khangarid are 4th with 34 points from 22 games, while Deren sit 3rd on 45 points.
Form guide
Khangarid's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Hunters 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 4.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.9 goals: 2.5 for Khangarid and 2.4 for Deren. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Khangarid 42%, draw 21%, Deren 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Khangarid 2–2 Deren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khangarid42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.70
Deren37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
4.86Expected goals
2.51Khangarid xG
2.35Deren xG
64%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
3–26%
1–25%
2–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Khangarid 2.5 – 2.4 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Khangarid to win✓
42%
2.38
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
2.15 ▲
Half-time result
Khangarid ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Khangarid / FT Khangarid✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
17.46
–
Form
Khangarid – last 3
WWW
7 May
@ Hunters
2–0
W
2 May
vs Khoromkhon
6–2
W
26 Apr
vs Ulaangom City
5–1
W
4.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deren – last 2
WW
7 May
vs Ulaangom City
7–1
W
3 May
@ Khovd Western
5–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khangarid and Deren.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Khangarid vs Deren?
On our numbers Khangarid have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deren 37%.
How many goals will there be in Khangarid vs Deren?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khangarid vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khangarid 2–2 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Khangarid vs Deren?
Khangarid vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
