Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuindio to win ✓53% · @1.57
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.96
Quindio vs Tigres FC preview and prediction
The match
Quindio host Tigres FC in the Primera B on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Quindio are 1st with 6 points from 3 games (top of the table), while Tigres FC sit 2nd on 5 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Quindio's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Internacional Palmira 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigres FC's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Envigado 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tigres FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Quindio and 0.8 for Tigres FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Quindio 53%, draw 29%, Tigres FC 18%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Quindio 1–0 Tigres FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quindio53%fair 1.88 · @1.57
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.40
Tigres FC18%fair 5.49 · @5.75
1.88Expected goals
1.10Quindio xG
0.78Tigres FC xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quindio 1.1 – 0.8 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Quindio
Tigres FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.76
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quindio to win✓
53%
1.88
1.57
Double chance
Quindio or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quindio / FT Quindio✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.96
–
Form
Quindio – last 6
DWLDWD
30 Apr
@ Internacional Palmira
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Envigado
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ Bogota FC
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Soacha
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tigres FC – last 6
LWWLWW
29 Apr
@ Envigado
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Internacional Palmira
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Barranquilla
3–1
W
26 Mar
@ Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Depor FC
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Bogota FC
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quindio and Tigres FC.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Quindio vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Quindio have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tigres FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Quindio 1–0 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Quindio vs Tigres FC?
Quindio vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
