Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Real Cartagena take on Bogota FC on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT). Real Cartagena are 3rd with 5 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Cartagena's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Barranquilla 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bogota FC's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Union Magdalena 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Real Cartagena and 0.6 for Bogota FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Cartagena 67%, draw 22%, Bogota FC 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Cartagena to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Cartagena67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.70
Bogota FC11%fair 9.38 · @5.00
2.41Expected goals
1.82Real Cartagena xG
0.58Bogota FC xG
40%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.8 – 0.6 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✓
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Real Cartagena ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
Real Cartagena – last 6
DLWDWD
27 Apr
@ Barranquilla
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Quindio
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Popayan
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bogota FC – last 6
DWDWLD
27 Apr
vs Union Magdalena
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Real Soacha
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Envigado
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Bogota FC.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Real Cartagena to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bogota FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
