Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuriram United to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC preview and prediction
The match
Buriram United host Ayutthaya FC in the FA Cup on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Chang Arena.
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Johor Darul Takzim FC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ayutthaya FC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Port FC 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Buriram United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Buriram United 2–0 Ayutthaya FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.8 for Buriram United and 1.3 for Ayutthaya FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 69%, draw 17%, Ayutthaya FC 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United69%fair 1.46 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @5.50
Ayutthaya FC15%fair 6.82 · @12.00
4.13Expected goals
2.82Buriram United xG
1.30Ayutthaya FC xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
3–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.8 – 1.3 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ayutthaya FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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