Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Khovd Western vs Deren preview and prediction
The match
Deren travel to face Khovd Western in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May (08:00 WAT). Khovd Western are 6th with 24 points from 20 games, while Deren sit 3rd on 45 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.0 for Khovd Western and 3.2 for Deren. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Khovd Western 6%, draw 17%, Deren 77%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Khovd Western 1–3 Deren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khovd Western6%fair 15.70 · @11.00
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @8.50
Deren77%fair 1.30 · @1.18
4.23Expected goals
1.04Khovd Western xG
3.19Deren xG
54%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
0–38%
1–28%
0–27%
1–47%
0–46%
From our goals model: Khovd Western 1.0 – 3.2 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deren to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Double chance
Deren or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Deren ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deren / FT Deren✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.21
–
Form
Khovd Western – last 1
D
26 Apr
@ Hunters
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deren
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khovd Western and Deren.
What is the prediction for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Khovd Western vs Deren?
On our numbers Khovd Western have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Deren 77%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd Western vs Deren?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khovd Western 1–3 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Khovd Western vs Deren?
Khovd Western vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
