The Liga De Expansión MX sees Atlante FC take on Tepatitlán on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Atlante FC's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with CA La Paz 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tepatitlán's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with CA La Paz 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tepatitlán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Atlante FC and 0.6 for Tepatitlán. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlante FC 70%, draw 19%, Tepatitlán 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlante FC to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.49, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlante FC 2–0 Tepatitlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlante FC70%fair 1.42 · @1.49
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Tepatitlán11%fair 8.99 · @6.40
2.65Expected goals
2.01Atlante FC xG
0.64Tepatitlán xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atlante FC 2.0 – 0.6 Tepatitlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✓
70%
1.42
1.49
Double chance
Atlante FC or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Atlante FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
14%
6.98
–
Form
Atlante FC – last 6
DLWLWD
18 Apr
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Cancún
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tepatitlán – last 6
DWDWLW
11 Apr
@ CA La Paz
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cancún
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monarcas
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlante FC and Tepatitlán.
What is the prediction for Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our pick is Atlante FC to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
On our numbers Atlante FC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tepatitlán 11%.
How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our predicted score is Atlante FC 2–0 Tepatitlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
