Value bet: Monarcas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✓48% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas preview and prediction
The match
Monarcas travel to Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba in the Liga De Expansión MX on Thursday 23 April (02:00 WAT) to face Mineros de Zacatecas. Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Monarcas sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Mineros de Zacatecas's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Irapuato 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Monarcas's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to CDS Tampico Madero 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mineros de Zacatecas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.2 for Monarcas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mineros de Zacatecas 48%, draw 21%, Monarcas 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Monarcas to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Monarcas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mineros de Zacatecas48%fair 2.06 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Monarcas31%fair 3.23 · @3.60
2.76Expected goals
1.58Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.19Monarcas xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 1.6 – 1.2 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✓
48%
2.06
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✓
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6
DWLWWL
19 Apr
@ Irapuato
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Atlante FC
1–3
L
30 Mar
vs Tapatío
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Tepatitlán
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Monarcas – last 6
LDLWLW
20 Apr
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Leones Negros UDG
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Irapuato
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Tapatío
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monarcas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Monarcas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
