Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Vitória ES to win @ 2.89 – our chance 45% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitória ES to win ✗45% · @2.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES preview and prediction
The match
Vitória ES travel to face Vilavelhense in the Copa Espírito Santo on Wednesday 3 June (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Vilavelhense's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Rio Branco ES 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Vitória ES's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Real Noroeste 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Vitória ES arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Vilavelhense and 1.8 for Vitória ES. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vilavelhense 33%, draw 22%, Vitória ES 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Vitória ES to win at 2.89 – 45% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Vilavelhense 1–1 Vitória ES. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vilavelhense33%fair 3.00 · @2.27
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Vitória ES45%fair 2.23 · @2.89
3.26Expected goals
1.49Vilavelhense xG
1.77Vitória ES xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Vilavelhense 1.5 – 1.8 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória ES to win✗
45%
2.23
2.89 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Vilavelhense – last 4
DLLD
28 May
@ Rio Branco ES
1–1
D
17 May
vs Porto Vitória
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Serra Talhada
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Desportiva ES
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Vitória ES – last 6
DWWWDW
30 May
vs Real Noroeste
1–1
D
27 May
vs Sport Brasil ES
5–0
W
24 May
@ Rio Branco ES
2–0
W
20 May
vs Serra Talhada
3–2
W
13 May
@ Rio Branco ES
2–2
D
7 May
vs Audax São Mateus
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vilavelhense and Vitória ES.
What is the prediction for Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?
On our numbers Vilavelhense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitória ES 45%.
How many goals will there be in Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?
Our predicted score is Vilavelhense 1–1 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?
Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES (Copa Espírito Santo) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Espírito Santo · Brazil
