Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Guarani de Palhoça to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense-SC to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça preview and prediction
The match
The Catarinense 2 sees Fluminense-SC take on Guarani de Palhoça on Wednesday 15 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Fluminense-SC's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Nação 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Guarani de Palhoça's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Juventus SC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Fluminense-SC and 1.3 for Guarani de Palhoça. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fluminense-SC 38%, draw 27%, Guarani de Palhoça 36%.
Value angle: Guarani de Palhoça to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Fluminense-SC 1–1 Guarani de Palhoça. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense-SC38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Guarani de Palhoça36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.09Fluminense-SC xG
1.31Guarani de Palhoça xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Fluminense-SC 1.1 – 1.3 Guarani de Palhoça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense-SC to win✗
38%
2.66
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani de Palhoça / FT Guarani de Palhoça✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Fluminense-SC – last 6
WDLWLL
12 Jul
@ Nação
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Blumenau
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Hercílio Luz
2–4
L
21 Jun
vs Jaraguá
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Caravaggio
0–1
L
11 Jun
vs Metropolitano
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guarani de Palhoça – last 6
LLWDLD
12 Jul
@ Juventus SC
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Hercílio Luz
1–2
L
28 Jun
@ Caravaggio
3–2
W
21 Jun
vs Nação
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Metropolitano
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Tubarao
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense-SC and Guarani de Palhoça.
What is the prediction for Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?
On our numbers Fluminense-SC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guarani de Palhoça 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?
Our predicted score is Fluminense-SC 1–1 Guarani de Palhoça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?
Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 2 · Brazil
Hercílio Luz1
Juventus SC0