Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNação to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Nação vs Fluminense-SC preview and prediction
The match
The Catarinense 2 sees Nação take on Fluminense-SC on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Nação's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Tubarao 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fluminense-SC's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Blumenau 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Fluminense-SC 1–1 Nação.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Nação and 1.0 for Fluminense-SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Nação 1–1 Fluminense-SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nação44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Fluminense-SC34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
2.28Expected goals
1.24Nação xG
1.04Fluminense-SC xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nação 1.2 – 1.0 Fluminense-SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nação vs Fluminense-SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Nação vs Fluminense-SC?
On our numbers Nação have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fluminense-SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nação vs Fluminense-SC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nação vs Fluminense-SC?
Our predicted score is Nação 1–1 Fluminense-SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nação vs Fluminense-SC?
Nação vs Fluminense-SC (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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