Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Hercílio Luz to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHercílio Luz to win ✓59% · @1.65
Double chanceHercílio Luz or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz preview and prediction
The match
The Catarinense 2 sees Guarani de Palhoça take on Hercílio Luz on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Guarani de Palhoça's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Caravaggio 3–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hercílio Luz's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Fluminense-SC 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hercílio Luz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Guarani de Palhoça and 1.8 for Hercílio Luz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Hercílio Luz to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Guarani de Palhoça 0–1 Hercílio Luz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guarani de Palhoça20%fair 4.93 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Hercílio Luz59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
2.72Expected goals
0.92Guarani de Palhoça xG
1.80Hercílio Luz xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Guarani de Palhoça 0.9 – 1.8 Hercílio Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hercílio Luz to win✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Double chance
Hercílio Luz or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Hercílio Luz ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hercílio Luz / FT Hercílio Luz✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Guarani de Palhoça – last 6
WDLDWL
28 Jun
@ Caravaggio
3–2
W
21 Jun
vs Nação
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Metropolitano
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Tubarao
2–2
D
3 Jun
@ Jaraguá
3–1
W
27 May
@ Blumenau
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hercílio Luz – last 6
WWWWDW
28 Jun
vs Fluminense-SC
4–2
W
21 Jun
vs Metropolitano
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Jaraguá
2–0
W
7 Jun
vs Nação
2–1
W
31 May
@ Caravaggio
2–2
D
27 May
vs Tubarao
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guarani de Palhoça and Hercílio Luz.
What is the prediction for Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
Our pick is Hercílio Luz to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
On our numbers Guarani de Palhoça have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hercílio Luz 59%.
How many goals will there be in Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
Our predicted score is Guarani de Palhoça 0–1 Hercílio Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 2 · Brazil
Fluminense-SC1
Blumenau1