Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTubarao to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceTubarao or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.56
Tubarao vs Nação preview and prediction
The match
Nação travel to face Tubarao in the Catarinense 2 on Sunday 5 July (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Tubarao's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Jaraguá 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nação's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Metropolitano 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tubarao arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Nação 0–0 Tubarao.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Tubarao and 0.7 for Nação. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tubarao 65%, draw 21%, Nação 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tubarao to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tubarao 1–0 Nação. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tubarao65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
Nação14%fair 7.07 · @9.50
2.47Expected goals
1.80Tubarao xG
0.67Nação xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Tubarao 1.8 – 0.7 Nação expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tubarao to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tubarao vs Nação?
On our numbers Tubarao have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nação 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tubarao vs Nação?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tubarao vs Nação?
Our predicted score is Tubarao 1–0 Nação, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tubarao vs Nação?
Tubarao vs Nação (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.