Value bet: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIroni Modi'in to win ✓39% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Leumit sees Hapoel Nazareth Illit take on Ironi Modi'in on Tuesday 19 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Kafr Qasim 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ironi Modi'in's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Hapoel Acre 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit and 1.3 for Ironi Modi'in. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win at 3.00 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Ironi Modi'in. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Nazareth Illit35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Ironi Modi'in39%fair 2.54 · @2.33
2.46Expected goals
1.19Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
1.27Ironi Modi'in xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.2 – 1.3 Ironi Modi'in expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ironi Modi'in to win✓
39%
2.54
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ironi Modi'in / FT Ironi Modi'in✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
DLWLDW
11 May
@ Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
4 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs Hapoel Hadera
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–4
L
17 Apr
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ironi Modi'in – last 6
LWLDDD
14 May
vs Hapoel Acre
0–1
L
8 May
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
4–1
W
5 May
@ Hapoel Hadera
0–1
L
1 May
vs Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Kafr Qasim
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Ironi Modi'in.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ironi Modi'in 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Ironi Modi'in, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Hadera0