Value bet: Maccabi Petah Tikva to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Petah Tikva to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceMaccabi Petah Tikva or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Rishon LeZion travel to HaMoshava Stadium in the Liga Leumit on Monday 11 May (17:00 WAT) to face Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Form guide
Maccabi Petah Tikva's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Kiryat Yam SC 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–1 Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 0.9 for Hapoel Rishon LeZion. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Safer route: Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Maccabi Petah Tikva to win at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Petah Tikva62%fair 1.61 · @1.77
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Hapoel Rishon LeZion18%fair 5.48 · @3.85
2.92Expected goals
1.98Maccabi Petah Tikva xG
0.95Hapoel Rishon LeZion xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Maccabi Petah Tikva 2.0 – 0.9 Hapoel Rishon LeZion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
On our numbers Maccabi Petah Tikva have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hapoel Rishon LeZion 18%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at HaMoshava Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1