Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Hadera to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.82
Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in preview and prediction
The match
Ironi Modi'in travel to Netanya Stadium in the Liga Leumit on Tuesday 5 May (17:00 WAT) to face Hapoel Hadera.
Form guide
Hapoel Hadera's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Ironi Modi'in's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Kafr Qasim 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Hapoel Hadera and 1.2 for Ironi Modi'in. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hapoel Hadera 1–1 Ironi Modi'in. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Hadera38%fair 2.63 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
Ironi Modi'in35%fair 2.82 · @2.55
2.61Expected goals
1.38Hapoel Hadera xG
1.23Ironi Modi'in xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Hadera 1.4 – 1.2 Ironi Modi'in expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Hadera to win✓
38%
2.63
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.82
–
Form
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
LWLLLL
30 Apr
@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kafr Qasim
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Hapoel Ramat Gan
1–3
L
14 Apr
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–3
L
10 Apr
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ironi Modi'in – last 6
DDDLLD
1 May
vs Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Kafr Qasim
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
2–3
L
6 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Hadera and Ironi Modi'in.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
On our numbers Hapoel Hadera have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ironi Modi'in 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Hadera 1–1 Ironi Modi'in, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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